Return of the easterlies

Figure 1 – Courtesy of www.wxcharts.eu

Still out there in the realms of science fiction land I know, but the last few runs of the GFS model have had pressure building strongly across Scandinavia later this week that pushes low pressure further south into central France, leaving the UK in another easterly air stream by next weekend and just in time for the vernal equinox and the real start of spring (fig 1).

Author: xmetman

An ex-metman passionate about all things to do with weather, climate and clouds

11 thoughts on “Return of the easterlies”

  1. Actually, the only period of snow forecast is on Saturday night/ Sunday morning, after the yellow warning is over.

  2. I have just noticed that the MO have issued a yellow warning for snow and ice between 17:00 Friday to 09:00 Saturday which includes Whitley Bay.
    The only problem is, as usual, there is no actual snow forecast during that period here, only rain.

  3. Now the BBC forecast has light snow on both Sat and Sun but the MO one has no precipitation at all.

  4. There appears to be some disagreement between the MO and BBC Meteogroup web forecasts for Whitley Bay next Saturday.
    The MO has light rain throughout the day, while Meteogroup has slightly lower temps and light snow.
    It’ll probably all have changed before then.

  5. “According to the Met Office the lowest temperature up to mid-month being -11.0 °C at Bewcastle, Cumbria, on the morning of February 7th, but the temperature fell to -11.7 °C at South Farnborough on the morning of the 28th,”
    But that is air temperature.
    I don’t believe it was cold enough, for long enough, certainly in London, to penetrate to the level of water mains, which are insulated by the soil, to freeze water mains.
    Still, no doubt it will all come out in the investigation, if you can trust that.
    Sorry, I didn’t include a link on my original post.
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-43361548

  6. According to the Met Office the lowest temperature up to mid-month being -11.0 °C at Bewcastle, Cumbria, on the morning of February 7th, but the temperature fell to -11.7 °C at South Farnborough on the morning of the 28th, so yes it was as cold if not colder in the south.
    If you want to get into the demography of the thing, the population of the whole of Scotland is 5.295 million. The population of southern England in comparison is 27.94 million, so there are over 5 times as many people living in the south, and at least the same number of houses connected to mains water. So it follows that there would have been more reports of burst pipes affecting the south than the north. It might not have been as bad of course if we hadn’t privatised all the water authorities and sold them for a song to the French and the Saudis!

  7. “It did get rather cold down here”
    In London?
    Was it colder than in the NE of England or Scotland?
    I haven’t seen anything about burst pipes in those areas.
    I think they are just using the cold as an excuse for poor maintenance in London.

  8. It did get rather cold down here and that combined with a strong easterly wind at times made for a very penetrating frost.
    This combined with old cast iron pipes meant a lot of burst pipes.

  9. A bit OT but what is it with water shortages in the South?
    Surely it didn’t get cold enough in London to freeze mains pipes?
    Apart from that, I disagree with the BBC when they say:
    “Homes and businesses faced days without running water after pipes burst during a thaw which followed freezing weather conditions. ”
    Surely it wasn’t the thaw which burst the pipes, but the cold?
    The burst pipe only became apparent when it thawed, but I still don’t believe that London got that cold.

  10. I noticed in this morning’s MO forecast that from next wednesday the wind was turning more easterly and temperatures were lower.
    While the BBC forecasters are talking about it getting milder, that only seems to be for one or two days.
    I wonder what effect this will leave CET, which is currently running 1.8c below the 30 year average.