The Met Office have now completed a 180° about-face regarding the second half of the December turning mild, and now admit that the weather over the British Isles for the next 30 days looks blocked well into the New Year (fig 1). If you remember they were postulating that mobility would return by the 15th of December, and that the rest of December would be basically wet, mild and zonal. I never believed December would pan out as they forecast in their 3 month winter outlook for contingency planners, so that suits me just fine. Don’t ask me why I thought that, I have no scientific reasoning to support it, I just knew that more often or not their extended outlooks and seasonal forecast are completely wrong. I did say that this Winter could end up being the equivalent of their ‘barbecue’ summer and I still believe that. Now all that we have to worry about is if this is just the start of a 1-5-5 or a 1-1-1 Winter!