There’s been an interesting news release from the Met Office late this morning regarding the anniversary of the October storm in 1987. The best thing about it the news release that it includes a full size jpg of the machine plotted and hand contoured chart for 02 UTC on the morning of the 16th, what a busy night shift that must have been! I hope they don’t mind me including a snippet from the bottom left hand corner of it in this blog! The news release makes interesting reading about how times have changed in the last 30 years as regards communications, and the power of supercomputers, that now allow NWP models to be run at even higher resolutions.
There’s an interesting video of just how the forecast would be handled thirty years later by Alex Deakin, which unfortunately has an image of a typhoon or cyclone behind him (0:47) rather than a hurricane. The puzzling thing that I can’t understand in the video is the reference to it as storm ‘Quentin’?
The news release even makes a brief, but indirect mention to the possibility that Ophelia might be another one, but if it does, it would be from the remains of a tropical cyclone, which the October 1987 storm wasn’t.
We can’t say we won’t see another storm like the one in 1987, but we are able to better forecast and warn of severe weather, helping to minimise the impacts by working with our partners and emergency responders, and the general public to prepare and take action all helping to protect life and property in the future.