I still can’t quite understand why much of the southwest has been left out of the yellow alert for strong winds from storm Aileen (fig 3). At 19 UTC Plymouth was the windiest place in WMO block #03 (fig 2), almost gale force eight, meaning 33 knots with gusts to 48 knots, that’s storm 10 (55 mph). I would have thought that the gradient will tighten even more as Aileen tracks across the Irish sea and North Wales later tonight. There have been large pressure falls of almost 10 hPa in three hours across Ireland, but generally the falls have not been as large as I’d expected.
The rainfall since 06 UTC is starting to mount up, with the Northwest of Ireland seeing quite a bit again, with estimated totals from the weather radar of 40-50 mm over higher ground (fig 4).