I notice that the latest Arctic sea ice extent for the 14th of May was only the fifth lowest for that particular day of the year, which means it’s staged a late spring fight back from a disappointingly low maximum in early March. Having said that, although it’s higher than last year at the same date, it’s still lower than the record low year of 2012.
I have revised my estimated September minimum up from 3.7 to 3.9 million square kilometres of sea ice. This doesn’t come close to breaking the lowest ever minimum of 3.34 million, which occurred on the 16th of September 2012. If the sea ice pundits are correct though, the pack ice has never been thinner and the Arctic could see an unprecedented collapse in sea ice this summer – we shall see how right they are in around four months time.